食品股承压 康师傅控股(00322)领跌3.31% 机构指食品饮料板块进入底部区间

金吾财讯
May 22

金吾财讯 | 食品股普跌,截至发稿,康师傅控股(00322)跌3.31%,中粮家佳康(01610)跌4.00%,维他奶国际(00345)跌1.80%,统一企业中国(00220)跌1.30%。消息面上,中银证券研究表示,当前食品饮料行业的基金整体持仓已处于历史较低分位,板块经历前期持续调整后,已进入底部区间。从季报业绩来看,1Q26白酒降幅收窄,大众品业绩触底恢复,部分子行业龙头企业表现强劲。板块中长期配置性价比凸显。(1)在经济结构转型的大背景下,部分传统消费行业面临短期阵痛,不再享受量、价两端抬升的红利,板块业绩持续磨底。2025年食品饮料板块营收、归母净利增速分别为-7.4%、-18.3%,1Q26增速分别为+3.6%、+3.6%。从不同子板块季度业绩来看,白酒板块仍在持续剧烈出清,但1Q26受益春节提振,降幅收窄。大众品先行于白酒实现业绩修复,且大众品龙头率先于行业走出调整,展现出一定的经营韧性。近两年,食品饮料行业经历了消费场景转换、渠道结构重构、居民消费习惯变化等变量后,板块业绩演绎出下行、触底、恢复的节奏。2026年行业面临全面低基数,在业绩底、持仓底的背景下,考虑到机构有重新配置需求,板块有望迎来估值及业绩的修复或反转。(2)投资建议方面,建议关注两个方向:一是高分红且业绩稳健的龙头个股。本轮调整期,龙头企业市场份额持续提升,马太效应明显。在竞争格局稳定且现金流充裕的背景下,龙头企业提升分红率,彰显出一定的经营韧性及红利资产属性。第二,在行业未呈现贝塔趋势之前,把握结构性投资机会。重视可享受品类红利、渠道结构变革红利及可享受下沉市场人口红利的相关标的。华源证券研究称,伴随餐饮需求边际回暖,供应链Q1业绩复苏,经营拐点或得到进一步验证;速冻食品、调味品细分板块竞争格局优化,龙头市场份额有望持续提升。

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