【券商聚焦】中国银河:5月车市呈修复 料出口有望继续保持高位运行

金吾财讯
May 28

金吾财讯 | 中国银河证券表示,中汽协发布4月车市产销量情况,总量方面,销量同环比双降,主要由于部分车企价格体系调整、金融方案收紧,叠加碳酸锂、存储等上游材料成本压力回升,增加消费者购车门槛与厂商经营压力,短期抑制终端成交。结构方面,国内需求偏弱,在油价抬升与海外电动化推进背景下出口高景气延续。展望后市,一方面,基于Q1内需走弱与4月销量承压的延续性,二季度内需同比大概率仍有压力,但随着车展后新品集中交付、以旧换新细则在国家框架下持续落地并由地方加码,内需环比改善的确定性更强。另一方面,海外新能源车型需求旺盛,高油价环境下新能源车出口占比提升、订单需求延续,出口有望继续保持高位运行。此外,该机构提到,近日,特斯拉FSD监督版正式纳入中国开放名单,智驾产业化节奏加速。该机构认为,FSD入华将提升消费者主动为高阶智驾功能买单的意愿,推动行业由供给普及转向体验升级与需求付费驱动,行业智能化进程将迎来重要催化。该机构持续看好智能驾驶主线,FSD落地有望带动线控底盘、传感器、域控制器等智能化核心零部件板块估值修复与业绩兑现。

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