比特币或上演“8 万美元空头绞杀”,分析师警告更大清算风暴正在逼近

链捕手
2 hours ago

ChainCatcher 消息,随着市场押注美伊局势缓和,比特币自 7.5 万美元附近反弹,交易员开始预期比特币将向 8 万美元发起冲击,并触发大量空头清算。多位交易员表示,比特币此前跌破 7.5 万美元更像一次“流动性扫盘”,当前市场已重新回到短线看涨节奏。分析指出,8 万至 8.05 万美元区域聚集大量高杠杆空单,若价格继续拉升,可能引发新一轮轧空行情。

与此同时,市场对美国与伊朗达成和平协议的预期正在升温,美股期货已率先创下历史新高,油价则出现回落。分析人士认为,若地缘风险降温,将有利于风险资产整体修复,包括加密市场。不过,链上与资金面数据仍释放警告信号。链上分析平台 CryptoQuant 指出,近 10 天 Binance 比特币净流入显著增加,单月储备已增加约 1.6 万枚 BTC,通常被视为潜在卖压上升的信号。

此外,美国现货比特币 ETF 近期持续出现资金流出,Coinbase 溢价指数转负,显示美国机构需求正在减弱。与此同时,市场杠杆多头却持续增加,资金费率维持正值。分析师警告,在“ETF 撤资、现货需求疲软、杠杆多头拥挤”的背景下,比特币当前更像一次由杠杆驱动的脆弱反弹,而非健康牛市,未来可能出现“大规模清算事件”。

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