【特约大V】邓声兴:美债息回落利好科技股,恒科指或跑赢大市

金吾财讯
May 29

金吾财讯 | 恒指周四(28日)收市报25006点,跌322点或1.27%。大市全日成交3563亿元。国指跌98点或1.17%,报8364点;科指跌18点或0.39%,报4888点。泡泡玛特(09992)获有“中国毕非德”之称的内地资深投资者段永平增持股权,收升4.7%,报161.5元,是表现最强蓝筹。蔚来(09866)全新旗舰SUV ES9正式上市并启动交付,股价升6.3%,报44.34元。小鹏汽车(09868)2027年底前实现L4级自动驾驶,股价升5.6%,报66.35元。云知声(09678)折让两成配股集资,股价挫8.2%,报261.2元。道指周四(28日)收市报50668点,升24点或0.05%;标指上扬0.58%,报7563点;纳指涨0.91%,报26917点;云端软件商Snowflake亚马逊达成多年业务协议,加上调升收入预测,股价收市爆升36.5%,微软甲骨文分别涨3.5%及6.7%,Palantir上扬8.2%;IBM跃高3.5%,为表现最强道指成份股;亚马逊单日转升0.8%。多家零售商业绩理想,百货公司Kohl's股价炒高20.6%,Dollar Tree及百思买(Best Buy)分别飙升17.9%及15.8%。Caterpillar滑落2.5%,为跌幅最大道指成份股。亚太股市今早(29日)个别走,日经225指数现时报65789点,升1096点或1.69%。南韩综合指数现时报8386点,升201点或2.46%。美债息回落利好科技股,恒科指或跑赢大市。宁德时代(03750)宁德时代首季业绩再创巅峰,营收1,291.31亿元,同比大增52.45%,归母净利润204.74亿元,增长46.64%,毛利率维持行业领先,成本传导能力强劲,核心业务贡献占比超98%,利润质量高度纯粹。公司正处于动力电池全球龙头、储能第二曲线、新技术突破的三重增长引擎交汇点。期内神行电池与麒麟电池双轮驱动,CTP3.0技术推动能量密度突破260Wh/kg,储能出货量达120GWh,海外产能占比提升至35%,匈牙利工厂即将满产,全球化布局完善。更值得关注的是,公司近期战略生态全面开花:联合地上铁在深圳落地全国首个标准化轻卡换电生态,计划年底增至140座换电站;溥泉资本领投零一汽车(1至4月销量同比增5倍),参投人形机器人核心零部件企业蓝点触控;关联基金斥资64亿元收购世纪互联38.1%股权,布局AI算力基础设施;同时与西班牙Grenergy签订1.5GWh储能大单,欧洲独立储能项目储备已超30GWh。凝聚态电池面向航空领域能量密度达500Wh/kg,预计2027年小批量交付,打开万亿级新市场。目标价$772,止蚀价$673(笔者为证监会持牌人士及笔者未持有上述股份)

作者:香港股票分析师协会主席邓声兴博士

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