港股异动 | 煤炭股逆市上扬 兖矿能源(01171)涨超3% 机构看好全球煤价中枢持续提升

智通财经
Jun 03

智通财经APP获悉,煤炭股逆市上扬,截至发稿,兖矿能源(01171)涨3.05%,报15.86港元;兖煤澳大利亚(03668)涨2.36%,报39.08港元;中煤能源(01898)涨1.99%,报13.31港元;中国神华(01088)涨1.3%,报46.8港元。

消息面上,方正证券认为,需求侧,随着夏季气温逐步攀升,火电保供压力持续加大,推升电力板块煤炭消耗量。同时,国内制造业生产活力持续回暖,带动工业用电量同比回升。供给端层面,行业约束因素多重叠加,供给增量有限。一方面,国际油价持续维持高位运行,抬升海外煤炭开采、运输及通关综合成本,进口煤价格同步走高;另一方面,近期国内煤炭行业安全环保检查力度持续趋严,部分矿井停产整改,产能利用率有所回落。

国泰海通证券表示,即使完全不考虑地缘的影响,实际全球中长期煤炭的供需平衡表也步入了边际市场收缩,看多全球煤炭资源,全球的煤价中枢有望持续提升。受山西煤矿安全事故影响,上周山西大面积的煤矿停产整顿自查,其他省份区域也加强安监力度,预计国内产量短期受影响明显。而印尼出口经营权收归国有企业,进一步加强对于出口控制力度。与此同时全国大范围的提前入夏,广东提前2个月负荷创历史新高,需求越发可见的具备旺季更旺特征。

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