预测市场看空比特币,今年跌破6万美元机率高达80%

格隆汇
Jun 04

6月4日,根据预测市场平台Kalshi最新数据,交易员认为比特币仍有进一步下跌空间。在被部分投资人称为“加密货币寒冬”的市场环境下,约有80%的机率认为比特币将再度跌破6万美元。若预测成真,将意味比特币跌破今年2月创下的低点。

交易员还认为,比特币跌破5万美元的机率约为52%。若真的跌破该关卡,将是自2024年8月以来首度见到4字头价格。除了看空情绪升温,投资人对比特币在未来数月重返10万美元的信心也明显下降。Kalshi数据显示,目前相关机率仅27%,远低于5月初接近50%的水平。

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