金吾财讯 | 国金证券研究认为，钢铁板块当前具备深度价值属性：历史复盘显示利润/价差对股价解释力优于商品价格；供给纪律比需求更关键，若Simandou放量叠加国内供给侧出清，2028年铁矿成本支撑或下移30美元/吨，长流程毛利中枢上移约300元/吨。头部钢企修复后ROE可达12%，投资回收期8-9年。当前高成本杠杆+低预期定价构成核心投资价值：吨净利50元、PE 15倍、无产量增长情形下，总收益空间约174%，3年年化收益约40%，困境反转钢企具备较高配置价值。
金吾财讯 | 国金证券研究认为，钢铁板块当前具备深度价值属性：历史复盘显示利润/价差对股价解释力优于商品价格；供给纪律比需求更关键，若Simandou放量叠加国内供给侧出清，2028年铁矿成本支撑或下移30美元/吨，长流程毛利中枢上移约300元/吨。头部钢企修复后ROE可达12%，投资回收期8-9年。当前高成本杠杆+低预期定价构成核心投资价值：吨净利50元、PE 15倍、无产量增长情形下，总收益空间约174%，3年年化收益约40%，困境反转钢企具备较高配置价值。
Disclaimer: Investing carries risk. This is not financial advice. The above content should not be regarded as an offer, recommendation, or solicitation on acquiring or disposing of any financial products, any associated discussions, comments, or posts by author or other users should not be considered as such either. It is solely for general information purpose only, which does not consider your own investment objectives, financial situations or needs. TTM assumes no responsibility or warranty for the accuracy and completeness of the information, investors should do their own research and may seek professional advice before investing.