ChainCatcher 消息，据 BIT 分析，比特币年初至今下跌 16%，同时正进入历史上回报偏弱的季节性窗口。过去十年中，6 月比特币平均回报率仅为 +0.7%，夏季月份通常以震荡整理为主。不过，今年的走势可能不完全遵循历史规律。5 月通常是比特币表现较强的月份之一，但今年的涨幅明显低于历史均值，季节性反转的概率也因此上升。
与此同时，多个重要催化因素即将落地，包括美国受监管加密永续期货产品，以及计划于 6 月 8 日推出的 NasdaqCME 加密指数期货。尽管季节性压力仍在，但从战术角度看，比特币或已接近短期底部。若这些催化因素带来新的买盘支撑，比特币有望迎来反弹。
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