金吾财讯 | 华泰证券表示，据工程机械协会，2026年5月销售挖机2.48万台，同比增长36%。其中国内销量1.16万台，同比增长39%；出口量1.32万台，同比增长34%。海外延续高景气，国内更新需求推动行业复苏。5月挖机内外销均实现加速，头部主机厂斩获大额国际订单。主要品类陆续提价，龙头的表态也意味着行业有望从“以价换量”转向“价值竞争”，打破市场对于行业持续通缩的预期。此前5月三一、徐工、柳工陆续宣布旗下挖机产品提价，幅度3~5%，目前处于逐步落地阶段，有望为相关主机厂Q2毛利率提供支撑。此外，当前国内挖机存量机龄仍处于2016年以来的高位区间，叠加二手机出海带来的置换空间，为内需复苏提供坚实支撑。该机构指，2026年工程机械有望演绎内外共振上行。未来雅鲁藏布江下游水电工程等重点基建项目的陆续落地开工、煤价企稳回升带来矿山需求的增长有望为挖机内需提供支撑，同时全球金属价格维持高位有望充分拉动海外矿山机械需求，看好国产工程机械主机厂全球市占率的提升。
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