MS Cuts Australian Bank Valuations on Tax Changes -- Market Talk

Dow Jones

Jun 05

0156 GMT - Morgan Stanley analysts lower valuations across their Australian bank coverage by an average of 6% on expectations that changes to tax concessions will end what they call the property market's 30-year super-cycle. They say the changes will fundamentally alter the outlook for residential mortgage growth. They now forecast investor loan balances to remain flat in fiscal 2027. This is similar to 2019, when mortgage rates were falling, lending standards were tighter, and there was discussion that tax concessions could be about to change, they say in a note. ANZ is the only Australian bank rated overweight by MS and remains its sector pick. MS has an underweight rating on Westpac, NAB and Commonwealth Bank. (stuart.condie@wsj.com)

(END) Dow Jones Newswires

June 04, 2026 21:56 ET (01:56 GMT)

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They say the changes will fundamentally alter the outlook for residential mortgage growth. They now forecast investor loan balances to remain flat in fiscal 2027. This is similar to 2019, when mortgage rates were falling, lending standards were tighter, and there was discussion that tax concessions could be about to change, they say in a note. ANZ is the only Australian bank rated overweight by MS and remains its sector pick. MS has an underweight rating on Westpac, NAB and Commonwealth Bank. (stuart.condie@wsj.com) \n</p>\n<pre style=\"white-space: pre\">\n \n</pre>\n<p>\n  (END) Dow Jones Newswires\n</p>\n<p>\n  June 04, 2026 21:56 ET (01:56 GMT)\n</p>\n<p>\n  Copyright (c) 2026 Dow Jones &amp; Company, Inc.\n</p>\n</font>","source":null,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>MS Cuts Australian Bank Valuations on Tax Changes -- Market Talk</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nMS Cuts Australian Bank Valuations on Tax Changes -- Market Talk\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<div class=\"head\" \">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/150f88aa4d182df19190059f4a365e99);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Dow Jones </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2026-06-05 09:56</p>\n</div>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<font class=\"NormalMinus1\" face=\"Arial\">\n<p>\n     0156 GMT - Morgan Stanley analysts lower valuations across their Australian bank coverage by an average of 6% on expectations that changes to tax concessions will end what they call the property market's 30-year super-cycle. They say the changes will fundamentally alter the outlook for residential mortgage growth. They now forecast investor loan balances to remain flat in fiscal 2027. This is similar to 2019, when mortgage rates were falling, lending standards were tighter, and there was discussion that tax concessions could be about to change, they say in a note. ANZ is the only Australian bank rated overweight by MS and remains its sector pick. MS has an underweight rating on Westpac, NAB and Commonwealth Bank. (stuart.condie@wsj.com) \n</p>\n<pre style=\"white-space: pre\">\n \n</pre>\n<p>\n  (END) Dow Jones Newswires\n</p>\n<p>\n  June 04, 2026 21:56 ET (01:56 GMT)\n</p>\n<p>\n  Copyright (c) 2026 Dow Jones &amp; Company, Inc.\n</p>\n</font>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","isBrief":false,"type":0,"news_type":1,"symbol":"LU1732799900.SGD","symbol_name":"JPMorgan Investment Funds - Global Income A (irc) SGD-H","start_time":0,"source_url":"https://dowjonesnews.com/newdjn/logon.aspx?AL=N","article_id":"2641199865","we_media_id":"106","thumbnails":[],"rights":null,"url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2641199865","pubTimestamp":1780624560,"columns":[],"sourceInfo":null,"weMediaInfo":{"media_name":"Dow Jones","introduction":"Dow Jones publishes the world’s most trusted business news and financial information in a variety of media.","home_visible":0,"id":"106","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/150f88aa4d182df19190059f4a365e99"},"summary":"0156 GMT - Morgan Stanley analysts lower valuations across their Australian bank coverage by an average of 6% on expectations that changes to tax concessions will end what they call the property market's 30-year super-cycle. They say the changes will fundamentally alter the outlook for residential mortgage growth. They now forecast investor loan balances to remain flat in fiscal 2027. This is similar to 2019, when mortgage rates were falling, lending standards were tighter, and there was discussion that tax concessions could be about to change, they say in a note. ANZ is the only Australian bank rated overweight by MS and remains its sector pick. MS has an underweight rating on Westpac, NAB and Commonwealth Bank. 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They say the changes will fundamentally alter the outlook for residential mortgage growth. They now forecast investor loan balances to remain flat in fiscal 2027. This is similar to 2019, when mortgage rates were falling, lending standards were tighter, and there was discussion that tax concessions could be about to change, they say in a note. ANZ is the only Australian bank rated overweight by MS and remains its sector pick. MS has an underweight rating on Westpac, NAB and Commonwealth Bank. (stuart.condie@wsj.com) \n\n\n \n\n\n  (END) Dow Jones Newswires\n\n\n  June 04, 2026 21:56 ET (01:56 GMT)\n\n\n  Copyright (c) 2026 Dow Jones & Company, Inc.","kind":"highlight","is_publish_news":true,"is_publish_highlight":false,"is_publish_live":false,"is_publish_wemedia":null,"editions":null,"column":"","sentiment":"-1","news_tag":"policyRegulatory","news_rank":0,"isVideo":false,"video":null,"symbols":[],"gpt_button":0,"need_auth":true,"need_login_tip":false,"code":"91000000","status":"200"}}}