船司提涨意愿强烈 航运股走强 中远海控(01919)涨6.61%

金吾财讯
Jun 05

金吾财讯 | 航运股走强,中远海控(01919)涨6.61%,东方海外国际(00316)涨4.96%,太平洋航运(02343)涨0.95%,中国外运(00598)涨0.43%。消息面上,马士基23周开舱约高柜3600-4000美金,MSC大柜报价3940美金,ONE线上报价大柜3541美金。6月第一周大柜报价显著高于5月末2850美金水平,船司提涨意愿强烈。实际线下揽货的指数约价格约在大柜3500-3600美金,同样环比5月末同样有明显抬升,船司强势涨价主要受外围环境的积极情绪支撑。华泰证券表示,集运方面,出口需求强劲+欧洲航线维持绕行,运价呈现止跌回升且大幅上涨态势。考虑当前美国零售库存比处于中枢偏低水平,后续有望带动补库需求,该机构预计2H运价同环比将进一步走强。油轮方面,市场前景仍待观察。若海峡能在较短时间内恢复通行,石油运输量将显著提升,带动运价新一轮上涨行情;反之,若海峡持续受限,石油贸易量萎缩,运价仍将承压下跌。干散方面,26年受益于美国降息周期,全球铁矿石发货量增加+中国进口需求改善,该机构预计2H运价同环比有望进一步走强。港口:2H出口集装量/进口散货量同环比有望保持增长态势,但进口原油量受中东局势负面影响,尚待观察。

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