ChainCatcher 消息，据 CoinDesk 报道，NYDIG 全球研究主管 Greg Cipolaro 表示，比特币下跌没有单一原因，而是多重因素叠加所致。AI 板块持续吸走加密市场资金，投资者正为 SpaceX、OpenAI、Anthropic 等大型科技 IPO 做准备，机构需筹集现金或减持现有仓位。
美国财长声称扣押约 10 亿美元伊朗相关加密资产，引发对政府介入数字资产市场的担忧。量子计算威胁再次成为关注焦点，Strategy 出售 32 枚 BTC 虽在供应层面微不足道，但心理层面影响更大。
Cipolaro 指出，链上指标显示多项指标正接近历史大底水平，MVRV 比率已降至 1.2，盈利供应占比近期跌破 50%。但当前 53% 的回撤幅度远低于此前周期 75%-90% 的水平，距峰值仅 242 天。这意味着要么机构采用已根本改变比特币周期行为，要么市场尚未真正进入投降阶段。
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