港股异动 | 黄金股继续承压 高利率预期仍限制黄金涨幅 市场关注今晚非农数据指引

智通财经
Jun 05

智通财经APP获悉,黄金股继续承压,截至发稿,赤峰黄金(06693)跌2.82%,报28.9港元;山东黄金(01787)跌2.78%,报22.4港元;潼关黄金(00340)跌2.44%,报2港元;中国黄金国际(02099)跌2.19%,报147.2港元。

消息面上,6月5日,现货黄金震荡走低,向下跌破4450美元。今年二季度以来,美国通胀数据反复反弹、就业市场韧性超预期,叠加全球能源价格再度走强,市场对美联储货币政策的预期已发生根本性逆转。值得关注的是,美国劳工统计局今晚将公布5月非农就业报告。这份数据被视为美联储6月议息会议前最重要的经济指标之一,将直接影响市场对美国经济和利率路径的判断。

中信期货认为,短线黄金维持震荡调整,高利率预期仍限制黄金涨幅;关注美伊谈判进展、海峡复航及6月5日将公布的非农数据等指引。后续情绪修复关注两种场景。1)若海峡复航、油价持续回落,或高利率的负反馈出现,美联储鹰派预期有望边际松动,为贵金属带来上行驱动。2)若通胀保持粘性,但美联储不转向实质加息,也可能带来实际利率的向下,对黄金构成利多。黄金长期趋势维持乐观。

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