ETF异动 | 南方两倍做多黄金(07299)跌超6% 美国5月非农数据强劲 高盛将美联储加息概率翻倍至20%

智通财经
Jun 08

智通财经APP获悉,南方两倍做多黄金(07299)跌超6%,截至发稿,跌6.21%,报24.16港元,成交额4432.39万港元。

消息面上,当地时间6月5日,美国5月非农就业报告出炉。数据显示,在3月和4月非农就业数据合计上修9.3万人的情况下,美国5月非农就业人口新增17.2万人,远超市场预期的8.8万人,使得过去3个月就业增幅为两年多来最强表现。同时,失业率持平于4.3%。在市场加息预期升温的驱动下美元大幅走强,美元指数(DXY)盘中站稳100关口。与此同时,美债收益率全线飙升,成为压制黄金价格的重要利空因素。

高盛最新研报指出,近几个月来美国经济活动和劳动力市场数据强于预期,尤其是就业增长出现了令人瞩目的回升。在关税、战争引发的高油价以及AI需求的三重催化下,2026年核心PCE通胀将死守在3%以上,美联储短期内毫无降息的紧迫感。不仅如此,高盛还将美联储加息的概率翻倍至20%。这意味着,市场必须重新校准对宽松路径的押注,短期内博弈降息的资金将面临严峻考验。

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