港股异动 | 煤炭股普遍走低 保供政策扭转供给收缩预期 机构指仍看好中长期煤价

智通财经
Jun 10

智通财经APP获悉,煤炭股普遍走低,截至发稿,中国秦发(00866)跌6.29%,报1.64港元;兖矿能源(01171)跌4.6%,报13.91港元;中煤能源(01898)跌3.01%,报12.1港元;中国神华(01088)跌0.56%,报45.9港元。

消息面上,5月22日山西煤矿事故突发导致山西焦煤矿井大范围停产,市场预期焦煤供应收紧,焦煤、焦炭期货连续两周偏强拉涨。近日,陕西发改委发布了《关于做好2026年迎峰度夏能源保供工作的通知》,直接扭转前期供给收缩预期,焦煤、焦炭近月合约一度跌停。

信达证券发布研报称,煤炭市场供需格局呈现趋紧态势,价格向上弹性空间充足,我们预计短期休整后煤价有望重拾升势。需要特别强调的是,此次山西沁源矿难对国内煤炭市场真正的核心影响,绝非市场短期的价格脉冲,而更在于国内煤炭有效产能释放将长期受限,进一步锁死了煤炭产能特别是井工煤矿的供给弹性,进而夯实了中长期煤价处于中高位运行的确定性和持续性,优质煤企的长期投资价值也变得更加稳固。

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