分析:比特币仍处于标准“四年周期”,53,000 美元或为重要支撑位

链捕手
3 hours ago

ChainCatcher 消息,交易员 Bob Loukas 表示,比特币仍处于“非常标准的四年周期”中,当前价格走势与此前周期并无明显不同。许多人称“这次不一样”,但其认为本轮比特币周期仍符合典型四年周期框架。其指出,当前周期已进入第 44 周,而周期低点窗口通常出现在第 46 周前后约 10% 的时间范围内。

Loukas 称,过去四年周期的中点位于约 53,000 美元,该位置可能成为重要支撑与阻力,并可能成为熊市低点附近的潜在买入位置。其还表示,比特币价格或将在 2028 年重新进入价格发现阶段。

QCP Capital 在周一最新市场报告中表示,BTC 当前处于狭窄心理区间内,60,000 美元附近已吸引买盘,但期权市场仍保持防御性布局,宏观风险仍在影响市场情绪。

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