6月11日,美国核心通胀数据公布后,比特币跌幅有所收敛,OEXN表示市场把注意力放在数据没有明显超出担忧值这一点上,数字资产因此获得了短线修复空间。
从资金反应来看,OEXN认为当宏观数据接近预期时,交易员往往更愿意重新审视此前的防御仓位,尤其是在价格已先行回撤的背景下,反弹更多体现为情绪修复而非趋势反转。
如果接下来的利率预期仍偏谨慎,比特币上方阻力可能继续存在;但若风险偏好稳定,市场也可能在当前位置附近反复筑底。
整体而言,OEXN预计后续波动仍会围绕宏观数据与收益率展开,比特币能否扩大反弹,需要看到资金面对通胀压力时不再持续撤离。
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