摩根士丹利发布行业研报指出,电力、设备、人力、水资源、行政审批等多重条件约束算力扩容,AI 需求持续上行背景下,算力市场或将形成长期结构性供需缺口。其将手握稳定规模化算力产能的市场主体定义为 merchants of compute,即算力供应商。该类企业核心竞争力不局限于自有数据中心与云服务体系,核心壁垒是可稳定交付的稀缺算力资源,行业地位类比能源赛道具备核心产能的发电厂商,供需失衡环境下有望持续强化定价与议价能力。
若 AI 产业资本开支维持高速增长,各类硬性约束持续压制算力新增供给,算力稀缺属性将长期凸显,具备充足稳定算力储备的企业,在全产业链分工中占据更有利的收益分配位置。
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