金吾财讯 | 铝业股集体承压，凯撒铝业 (KALU) 跌 0.61%，Constellium (CSTM) 跌 1.47%，美国铝业公司 (AA) 跌 7.42%，世纪铝业 (CENX) 跌 7.62%。
消息面上，美伊达成停战框架协议，霍尔木兹海峡金属运输通道有望恢复通行，市场预判中东铝供应中断局面缓解，伦敦铝期货大幅下行，铝业相关标的同步承压。
中东电解铝产能占全球总量 9%，当地铝企需依托霍尔木兹海峡出口成品铝、进口氧化铝原料，此前地缘冲突造成基础设施受损，海湾铝厂 4 月产量同比下滑 35%。欧洲早盘时段，LME 三月期铝跌幅超 3%，报价 3426 美元 / 公吨，创下两个月阶段新低；其余有色品种走势分化，铜上涨 0.3% 至 13741.50 美元 / 吨，锡涨幅达 2.5%。
摩根大通基本金属与贵金属研究主管格雷戈里・希勒向彭博社表示，铝价与能源价格联动性较强，海峡通航恢复或带动铝价短期大幅回调。机构同时指出全球铝市仍存在实质性供应缺口，行情长期走向取决于隐性库存消化节奏与显性库存回落周期，供需基本面尚未完全转向宽松。
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