金吾财讯 | 中国银河证券研究指，北京时间6月18日凌晨，美联储将公布利率决议。这是凯文·沃什就任主席后的首次FOMC会议。沃什首秀大概率“维持现状+删除宽松偏向+打太极式表态”，即承认经济强劲、通胀偏高、不急于降息，但也不承诺加息，强调一切取决于数据。符合预期情形下，港股短期以高股息防御为主，中期关注科技板块“预期差”修复机会。决议落地前，保持仓位灵活性。该机构认为，投资策略上应把握三条主线：(1)高股息/红利资产(防御底仓)。建议关注能源、材料、有色金属、银行/非银等板块。(2)前期调整中沽空压力较重当前具有反弹机会的板块。食品饮料/消费者服务/可选消费等具有低估值，盈利预期企稳或上修，红利属性增强的特点，叠加618大促、美加墨世界杯等催化事件，把握相关板块反弹窗口。(3)科技板块。尽管短期AI硬件链承压，但中期维度下，AI算力产业链、半导体、互联网平台仍是港股最具稀缺性和成长性的方向。
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