石油股连续多日走弱 中石油(00857)跌2.84% 美伊谈判取得积极进展 油价延续震荡调整

金吾财讯
Jun 23

金吾财讯 | 石油股连续多日走弱,昆仑能源(00135)跌0.30%,中海油田服务(02883)跌1.62%,中国石油化工股份(00386)跌1.68%,中国海洋石油(00883)跌2.52%,中国石油股份(00857)跌2.84%,上海石油化工股份(00338)跌3.45%。消息面上,美、布两油日内均跌超1%,现分别报72.97美元/桶和76.55美元/桶,分别跌1.20%,1.25%。随着谈判恢复并取得阶段性成果,投资者开始重新评估中东地区供应风险。市场普遍认为,若未来两个月内能够达成更广泛协议,全球原油供应紧张局面可能获得明显缓解。与此同时,美国财政部宣布暂时放宽部分针对伊朗原油出口的限制措施。市场认为,该举措可能使伊朗原油出口规模逐步恢复,从而增加国际市场供应量。对于当前已经面临需求增长放缓预期的原油市场而言,这无疑增加了额外的下行压力。分析指出,美伊和平谈判取得积极进展以及美国放宽部分伊朗原油出口限制,正在削弱此前推动油价上涨的供应担忧情绪。不过,霍尔木兹海峡安全问题、伊朗核计划以及双方核心利益分歧仍未解决,地缘政治风险并未完全消失。短期来看,WTI原油围绕73至75美元区域的争夺将成为市场关注重点。若谈判持续推进,供应恢复预期可能继续压制油价;但若局势再度反复,风险溢价回归仍有望推动油价重新走强。投资者需重点关注后续谈判进展、美国库存数据以及全球需求预期变化对市场情绪的影响。

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