金吾财讯 | 光大证券研究指，短期铜价震荡，仍看好2026年铜价上行。该机构提到，截至2026年6月18日，SHFE铜收盘价104780 元/吨，环比6月12日+0.11%；截至6月19日，LME铜收盘价13587 美元/吨，环比6月12日-0.92%。(1)宏观：中东冲突尚未结束，美联储加息概率再度提升，铜价短期震荡。(2)供需：海外硫磺供应紧张尚未有效缓解，湿法炼铜供应扰动预期仍存；国内铜社库继续下降创年内新低；COMEX-LME铜价价差为正，或导致美国继续虹吸全球铜库存。2026年供需偏紧的矛盾依然未变，继续看好铜价上行。
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