【券商聚焦】中信建投:保险行业业绩修复有望带动股价回暖 居民存款搬家打开长期增长空间

金吾财讯
Jun 24

金吾财讯 | 中信建投证券研报指出,保险行业迎来负债端、资产端双向改善格局,监管“报行合一”深化落地、分红险利率下调,有效规范行业竞争环境,叠加居民存款搬家、人口老龄化趋势,行业负债端增长动能充足。2026年一季度上市险企NBV增速显著提升,1-4月人身险原保费收入同比增长7.6%,银保、代理人渠道结构持续优化,期交业务占比稳步上行。财险板块同步改善,非车险监管规范化推动费用率优化,头部企业新能源车险实现承保盈利,出险率及赔付率呈现改善趋势。资产端方面,险企权益资产配置比例有所提升,4月以来沪深300指数累计上涨13.70%,显著优于去年同期,有望提振二季度险企盈利水平。目前上市险企PEV估值处于多年低位,估值充分反映市场悲观预期,安全边际充足。同时健康险、养老险政策持续加码,商业保险补充保障属性凸显,叠加行业负债成本优化、资产收益回暖,行业整体迎来业绩与估值修复机遇。

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