本周黄金价格跌破每盎司4000美元的关口，标志着此前持续多年的牛市行情出现急剧逆转。去年是黄金四十年来表现最好的一年，得益于所谓的“贬值交易”提供强劲支撑——即由于发达经济体财政债务负担不断加重，投资者更倾向于投资黄金等替代资产。然而，这种交易随后已逐渐瓦解。“当拥挤的上涨交易面临压力时，投资者往往不是只卖出自己想卖的，而是卖出自己能卖的，”盛宝集团首席投资策略师查鲁·查纳纳表示。“过去一年中，黄金一直是大幅盈利的交易，因此当投资组合需要降低风险时，它就可能成为现金来源。”与此同时，美元汇率有望实现第二周上涨。自上周美联储会议以来，美元兑其他货币已升值1.7%。
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