金价跌回3字头、半年回撤30%,牛市终结还是深度调整

格隆汇
Yesterday

据一财,从5600美元到4000美元,不到半年时间,金价重新回到“3字头”时代,这代表长牛的终结,还是一场深度调整的阵痛?市场分歧正在加剧。星展银行(中国)高级投资策略师邓志坚对第一财经分析称,金价下跌的核心驱动在于美国通胀引发的加息预期。他表示,通胀数据表面温和,但资本开支上升、债务扩张等尾部风险正在积聚,推动各国央行提前采取防御性加息措施,从而对无息资产黄金形成持续压制。一位贵金属交易人士对记者表示,中东局势仍有反复,美国通胀压力未散,市场对风险资产的担忧也没有消失。按传统逻辑,黄金应该仍有支撑,但至少在这轮行情里,资金优先选择了美元,后续市场焦点在于美国经济放缓信号能否得到验证。

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