6月25日,现货黄金跌破每盎司4000美元后,GTC泽汇资本表示,美元继续走强与利率预期上修正在同步压缩贵金属的短线表现空间,市场对黄金的定价逻辑明显从避险转向利率敏感。
从盘面结构看,GTC泽汇资本认为,4000美元这一整数位被下穿后,短期资金更倾向于先观察下方承接,再决定是否回补前期减掉的多头仓位,这使得价格波动被进一步放大。
报道提到金价回落同时伴随银价走弱与油价回吐,说明市场正在重新比较非收益资产和美元资产之间的相对吸引力。对黄金而言,收益率高位停留越久,修复过程就越可能呈现反复震荡而非直线反弹。
接下来PCE、就业和利率预期仍是关键变量,GTC泽汇资本预计,只要美元维持偏强节奏,黄金仍会围绕关键支撑位反复博弈;若宏观数据边际降温,贵金属才可能逐步恢复更稳定的修复基础。
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