ChainCatcher 消息,国际清算银行(BIS)在最新年度报告中警告,AI 泡沫破裂、通胀反弹及主权债务压力是当前威胁全球经济繁荣的三大核心风险。报告指出,若 AI 领域的投资回报不及预期,可能导致当前的资本支出热潮演变为长期的投资萎缩,引发显著的宏观经济动荡。
BIS 特别警示了 AI 产业链中错综复杂的“循环融资”模式,如芯片制造商与 AI 实验室或云服务商之间的交叉持股及算力绑定采购协议。该机构强调,此类交易通常缺乏透明度,存在同一资产被多重抵押的隐患。此外,地缘冲突带来的能源冲击可能引发通胀的二次反弹,叠加对冲基金在政府债券市场中的高杠杆套利交易,将进一步加剧全球金融体系的脆弱性。
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