【上涨支撑因素松动 黄金下半年面临“压力测试”】站在2026年年中,国际、国内金价较1月历史高点已累计回撤近30%,呈现极罕见的高位剧烈调整。展望后市,业内人士表示,黄金的价格走势是该资产与股市、利率、油价之间多重关系博弈的结果,金价的短期预测变得愈发困难。分析人士认为,投资者应谨防黄金的“去美元化”叙事在当前市场环境下被滥用,警惕以“长期慢变量”的叙事为依据,指导“短期快变量”的交易。这次下跌犹如一场“压力测试”,让市场关注点重新回到企业基本面。
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