国泰海通证券研报指出，中国南方航空股份大额定增与飞机大单不改十五五供需继续向好，地缘油价不改盈利上行长逻辑。货运与国际保持盈利，将助力油价影响小于担忧。近期油价回落，期待暑运经营改善。Q2货运与国际盈利减轻油价影响，Q3供需向好与油价回落将保障经营改善，或催化乐观预期。近期油价显著回落，考虑油价阶段性压力对盈利节奏影响，下调2026-27年归母净利预测至3/53亿元人民币，新增2028年预测86亿元人民币。维持目标价5.67港元，建议增持。
国泰海通证券研报指出，中国南方航空股份大额定增与飞机大单不改十五五供需继续向好，地缘油价不改盈利上行长逻辑。货运与国际保持盈利，将助力油价影响小于担忧。近期油价回落，期待暑运经营改善。Q2货运与国际盈利减轻油价影响，Q3供需向好与油价回落将保障经营改善，或催化乐观预期。近期油价显著回落，考虑油价阶段性压力对盈利节奏影响，下调2026-27年归母净利预测至3/53亿元人民币，新增2028年预测86亿元人民币。维持目标价5.67港元，建议增持。
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