中金发表报告指，综合考虑业务发展与报表换算，预计恒隆地产上半年物业租赁收入与营业溢利分别同比增长6%和5%、物业销售大体盈亏平衡，净负债水平维持大致稳定、平均融资成本同比小幅下行、利息资本化率有所上行，股东应占基本纯利同比持平。该行认为公司将在2026年维持与过去两年一致的派息政策、隐含当前股息收益率7.5%，但实际派息能力随经营改善而增强，公司公布2024和2025年基于扣除资本化利息的物业租赁及酒店纯利的派息比例分别为100%和102%，预计今年上半年同口径利润有望同比小幅增长。中金认为相对于公司当前的经营状况，当前股息收益率具备吸引力，维持盈利预测及“跑赢行业”评级不变，下调目标价18%至9.5港元，主要反映市场风险偏好变化。
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