据CME“美联储观察”：美联储7月维持利率不变的概率为68.5%累计加息25个基点的概率为31.5%。 美联储到9月维持利率不变的概率为35.7%累计加息25个基点的概率为49.2%累计加息50个基点的概率为15.1%。美联储到10月维持利率不变的概率为27.8%累计加息25个基点的概率为46.2%累计加息50个基点的概率为22.6%累计加息75个基点的概率为3.3%。
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