大宗商品价格走软或致澳大利亚陷入贸易逆差

格隆汇
Jul 06

7月6日,随着进口飙升而出口增长停滞,矿业繁荣对澳大利亚贸易的提振效应似乎正在消退,该国可能将面临自2016年以来首次年度贸易逆差。今年以来,由于数据中心建设热潮推动澳洲燃料和设备进口激增,而出口却陷入停滞,商品贸易顺差大幅收窄。这一趋势似乎将持续,澳大利亚政府预测本财年主要大宗商品出口收入较上一财年仅增长3%。

矿业投资繁荣曾带动铁矿石天然气等出口大幅增长,推动经济多年扩张和财富积累。但重返逆差或将施压澳元,并制约政府财政空间。经济学家詹姆斯·麦金太尔表示:“预计大宗商品价格下滑将对出口收入构成压力。因此,过去十年间录得的贸易顺差及偶尔的经常账户盈余,可能会让位于逆差格局。”

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