仲量联行:新盘去货周期大幅收窄 预计下半年香港楼价趋稳升幅有限

智通财经
Jul 06

智通财经APP获悉,仲量联行香港主席曾焕平称,香港楼市延续复苏势头,2026年前五个月整体住宅成交量同比上升44.2%;同期整体楼价上扬7.4%。与2025年3月的低位相比、楼价至今已累计反弹13%。

一手新盘炽热大幅加快市场“去货”速度。曾焕平表示,按目前的销售步伐,消化货尾所需的时间已由2023年12月的101.6个月大幅缩短至今年3月的44.3个月,甚至低于2015至2021年牛市期间平均51.3个月。这意味库存压力已显著纾缓,发展商推盘不再受货尾积压所掣肘。

不过后市仍存隐忧,包括加息风险、通胀压力、股市波动。曾焕平指出,受近期股市波动影响,5月份一手交投步伐已见放缓。展望下半年,他认为,通胀压力升温或会拖累买家的入市意欲,预计香港中小型住宅全年楼价升幅介乎5%至10%。且大部分升幅已于上半年实现,下半年香港楼价将企稳,未见回调压力。

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