中信建投指出,国内浮息债规模不大但结构集中,当前以政策性金融债为主,挂钩基准以DR007和LPR为核心。浮息债相对固息债的优势并非无条件成立,关键取决于无风险利率与挂钩基准利率的组合变化:当DR007或LPR上行并带动票息重定价时,浮息债相对占优;若无风险利率上行而基准利率下行或低位运行,浮息债承压加剧。当前LPR仍处降息周期、DR007缺乏明显上行基础,短期不宜高估浮息债配置价值。后续更顺畅的投资窗口,可能出现在降息尾声、宽松预期充分定价、DR007企稳或资金利率回升阶段。
中信建投指出,国内浮息债规模不大但结构集中,当前以政策性金融债为主,挂钩基准以DR007和LPR为核心。浮息债相对固息债的优势并非无条件成立,关键取决于无风险利率与挂钩基准利率的组合变化:当DR007或LPR上行并带动票息重定价时,浮息债相对占优;若无风险利率上行而基准利率下行或低位运行,浮息债承压加剧。当前LPR仍处降息周期、DR007缺乏明显上行基础,短期不宜高估浮息债配置价值。后续更顺畅的投资窗口,可能出现在降息尾声、宽松预期充分定价、DR007企稳或资金利率回升阶段。
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