荷兰国际集团:欧元区储蓄率若降至疫情前水平将释放巨大收益

格隆汇
Jul 10

荷兰国际集团经济学家Marieke Blom和Amrita Naik Nimbalkar在一份报告中表示,如果欧元区的储蓄率降至疫情前水平,可能会释放价值约占GDP 1%的商品和服务需求。今年第一季度,家庭储蓄占可支配收入的14.3%,高于疫情前五年12.5%的平均水平。在美国,2025年最后一个季度的储蓄率为10.2%,这一水平可能会使欧元区GDP增加近2%。随着较高的房贷利率、信贷增长放缓和预防性储蓄拖累支出,消费料将保持疲软。但他们表示,从银行存款向投资的转变,可能会为未来几年更强劲的支出和内部需求奠定基础。

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