7月9日,比特币在获利盘释放后仍维持相对坚挺,CPT Markets表示,现货ETF需求和长期持有者惜售共同支撑市场情绪。虽然价格未能快速突破,但回调幅度有限,显示买盘仍在关键区间承接。
从链上和交易所数据看,长期持有者的供给变化仍是市场关注点。CPT Markets提到,若可交易供应保持偏紧,现货需求的边际变化就可能对价格形成更明显影响,ETF渠道的买盘节奏也会放大市场反应。
当前市场结构比单纯价格涨跌更值得关注。CPT Markets认为,若现货流入持续,杠杆波动对价格的冲击会被部分缓冲;若宏观风险偏好下降,短线资金可能降低仓位并等待更低位置。
后续比特币需要观察ETF净流入、期权仓位和美元走势。CPT Markets判断,若三项指标配合,价格可能维持偏强震荡;否则市场仍需更多时间消化获利盘。
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