【券商聚焦】中金公司:纺织服装珠宝行业韧性显现 静待景气提升

金吾财讯
Jul 10

金吾财讯 | 中金公司研报指,预计服装需求整体仍旧平稳,但需求分化态势延续,消费者更加关注产品力本身。运动户外行业中,头部集团持续迭代核心科技,提升产品性能;男女装品牌中,中高端品牌在面料、版型和设计等方面保持差异化优势。另一方面,大众品牌主打产品性价比,保持稳健增长。2H26低基数下中游鞋服制造板块有望迎来修复,原材料成本上行担忧逐步缓解。2H25以来,中游鞋服制造板块经历了包括关税调整、地缘政治、原材料价格波动等在内的一系列外部环境影响,业绩出现波动。我们认为进入2H26以上外部因素影响将会逐渐消退,在基数走低下行业有望迎来修复。2H26金饰行业增长进一步分化,金价若企稳回升或带动终端需求改善。2026年以来,受高基数及金价回落影响,行业整体增长面临一定压力,品牌表现分化,但计价类产品销售有所修复。我们认为2H26若金价逐步企稳回升,黄金珠宝品牌在中国内地的销售或逐步迎来较好的增长表现。此外,中国港澳及海外市场年内有望持续带来增长动能,高港澳占比的公司有望继续受益。

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