亚洲开发银行首席经济学家Albert Park表示,中东停火的结束使亚洲发展中经济体的前景变得黯淡。他指出,冲突再度升级将推高能源价格、推升风险溢价、加剧通胀压力并延长整个地区的供应链中断——该地区严重依赖从中东进口石油和天然气。从消息传出后市场的即时反应可以看出,局势升级或持续的不确定性可能收紧全球金融状况,因投资者重新定价风险、利差扩大并推高美元,从而抬升输入性通胀。Park表示,这将不利于亚洲发展中国家的增长前景,因为债务偿还成本将上升,同时投资和国内需求也将受到打击。
亚洲开发银行首席经济学家Albert Park表示,中东停火的结束使亚洲发展中经济体的前景变得黯淡。他指出,冲突再度升级将推高能源价格、推升风险溢价、加剧通胀压力并延长整个地区的供应链中断——该地区严重依赖从中东进口石油和天然气。从消息传出后市场的即时反应可以看出,局势升级或持续的不确定性可能收紧全球金融状况,因投资者重新定价风险、利差扩大并推高美元,从而抬升输入性通胀。Park表示,这将不利于亚洲发展中国家的增长前景,因为债务偿还成本将上升,同时投资和国内需求也将受到打击。
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