机构建议迪士尼退出流媒体,称转型可释放40%上涨空间

环球市场播报
Jul 14

  近日有机构建议华特迪士尼公司考虑彻底退出流媒体业务,回归内容制作与授权模式,称此举有望推动股价上涨约40%。

  分析指出,迪士尼在流媒体领域难以与Netflix和YouTube在规模上竞争,其以院线优先的内容发行节奏不足以支撑长期用户留存。与此同时,迪士尼的知识产权价值正在攀升——据相关数据,2020至2025年间无形资产投资年均增长5.5%,快于有形资产的3.2%。

  据测算,若迪士尼放弃直接分发、转向纯粹的内容授权模式,年授权收入有望超过150亿美元。仅全球首轮付费授权一项,因迪士尼票房规模是索尼的三倍,预计可贡献近40亿美元年收入,索尼目前每年首轮电影授权收入已超10亿美元。加上二轮授权和片库内容,总授权收入将进一步攀升。

  相关机构维持迪士尼“增持”评级,但将目标价从146美元下调至125美元,下调原因包括宏观压力和票房预测调整。受此消息影响,迪士尼股价周一上涨近2%。该股过去五年累计下跌近半,而标普500指数同期涨幅超70%。

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