在6月通胀数据低于预期之后CME“美联储观察”工具显示美联储本月加息的概率已降至17%而昨日这一比例为42%。6月CPI数据显示环比下降0.4%同比上涨3.5%表明物价走势较经济学家的预测更为温和。即便剔除上个月油价大幅下跌的因素通胀数据依然好于预期。Spartan公司的Peter Cardillo指出：“该数据超出了我们的预期即便没有完全排除本月加息的可能性也已大幅降低了这种几率。”根据“美联储观察”的数据市场普遍预期年内至少会有一次加息。
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