周一油价走高、美元走强，或将削弱亚洲股市周五反弹形成的上涨动能。美股盘前期货显现市场避险情绪，纳斯达克 100 指数期货下跌 0.5%。
韩国综合指数近六周内已有五周收跌，本周开局承压。上周五美股整体风险偏好回暖，标普 500 指数收涨，波动率指数 VIX 跌至 15 附近，创今年 1 月以来最低水平，但市场部分板块走势偏弱。高贝塔成长股普跌，美光股价走低，即便在原油价格大幅上涨前，也已给韩国存储芯片龙头股带来利空指引。
受巴威台风影响，中国台湾股市周五休市，今日有望补涨，跟上上周五区域股市整体上涨行情。台积电本周四即将发布财报，而这家芯片企业在周一开盘后公布的月度营收数据，将成为研判全球人工智能基础设施建设进度的即时参考指标。本周市场还将面临多项宏观层面考验，包括美国银行业财报与消费者物价指数数据。
上周后半段美元走弱，为股市提供支撑。但地缘冲突一旦激化，将推动美元走强、收紧金融环境，进而给风险资产带来更大下行压力。周一早盘贵金属全线大幅下挫，黄金价格跌破每盎司 4100 美元，白银跌幅约 2%。
责任编辑：王永生
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