Modi pushes to cut import reliance to shield India from shocks - Bloomberg

Anup Roy & Shruti Srivastava / Bloomberg

Jul 16

Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi is taking steps to reduce key imports into the economy in order to protect supply chains and ease pressure on the currency as geopolitical risks escalate.(July 16):...

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The government is considering subsidies and other incentives to help boost domestic production, they said, asking not to be identified because the discussions are private.\nThe Ministry of Commerce and Industry is preparing a list of more than 100 products, including electronics, chemicals, key drugs, fertilisers, semiconductors, automobiles and machinery, which could be scaled up, the people said. The discussions are taking place across several ministries and a decision hasn't been finalised yet, the officials said.\nThe latest move to boost domestic manufacturing came on Wednesday, with Modi's cabinet approving a plan to increase financial support for chip and smartphone production by another 1.9 trillion rupees (US$19.7 billion or $25 billion). It also approved a policy to raise local fertiliser production following shortages linked to the closure of the Strait of Hormuz.\nIndia's manufacturing is heavily reliant on imported inputs, especially from China, making the industry vulnerable if supplies are restricted, as India's auto and tech industries have experienced over the past year. The Iran war has only exposed India's dependency even further, with severe energy shortages and soaring import bills in recent months, which pushed the currency to record lows.\n\nIndia imported nearly US$775 billion ($998.66 billion) worth of goods during the financial year ending March, with almost a fifth of that coming from China alone. \nBuilding domestic capacity is now a key pillar of Modi's economic agenda, with an objective to narrow the trade deficit, preserve foreign exchange and position India as an alternative manufacturing hub to China.\nShaktikanta Das, a former central bank governor and now principal secretary in Modi's office, is spearheading a taskforce that's drawing up an import substitution blueprint for the economy, officials familiar with the matter said. Members of the Prime Minister's Economic Advisory Council are also involved in the project.\nModi has instructed key government ministries to identify areas where India can produce goods more efficiently and at lower cost, the officials said. The government may consider extending manufacturing incentives to private and foreign investors to set up factories in the country or ask state-owned firms to scale up their own capacity through joint ventures, they said.\nModi's office and the Ministry of Commerce and Industry didn't reply to a request for further information.\nCommerce Minister Piyush Goyal this month urged states and industry to identify products that can be manufactured competitively in the country. He added that the efforts would help in cutting import dependence, saving foreign exchange while strengthening domestic supply chain to reduce vulnerabilities arising from excessive dependence on foreign suppliers.\nIndia is the world's third-largest oil importer, with most of its purchases coming from the Middle East and Russia, making the country vulnerable to geopolitical tensions. The US is proposing new sanctions on the five largest buyers of Russian oil and natural gas - including India and China - which would give President Donald Trump the authority to impose tariffs of up to 100% on those countries.\nOfficials in New Delhi said that while imports of crude oil, gold and critical minerals are difficult to replace, the government sees scope to reduce dependence on other items, including pulses and edible oils through agricultural reforms. \nIn sectors where replacing imports is not immediately feasible, the government plans to pursue a long-term strategy to build domestic production, the people said. In some areas, such as key intermediate products needed for electric vehicles, China is critical in global supply chain and cannot be substituted.\nAmong other proposals on the table are options to relax export obligations for exporters if they use more locally-made capital goods for their exports, one of the people said.  \nOfficials are also weighing changes to the Advance Authorization programme, which allows exporters to import raw materials without paying customs duties, provided they export finished products of a specified value within a set timeframe and add at least 15% value domestically. The discussions are mainly around whether value addition norms can be relaxed if exporters increase the use of locally-made intermediate products, the person said.\nFor fertilisers, the government is targeting a 30% reduction in imports over the next three years, a person familiar with the matter said. As part of the effort, authorities plan to revive dormant domestic fertiliser plants, with some projects expected to be completed over the next year, the person said.\nUploaded by Chng Shear Lane","kind":"highlight","is_publish_news":true,"is_publish_highlight":false,"is_publish_live":false,"is_publish_wemedia":false,"editions":null,"column":"","sentiment":"0","news_tag":"","news_rank":0,"isVideo":false,"video":null,"symbols":[],"gpt_button":0,"need_auth":false,"need_login_tip":false,"code":"91000000","status":"200"}}}