大行评级丨美银:市场对铝业的忧虑属过度,重申中国铝业“买入”评级

格隆汇
Jul 15

美银证券发表报告指,中国铝业日前发盈喜,预测2026年上半年纯利同比增长58%至73%,达到112亿至122亿元,相当于该行全年盈利预测的57%,符合预期。这意味着第二季纯利为56.7亿至66.7亿元,同比增长61%至89%、环比增长3%至21%。该行认为第二季盈利较强,主要受期内铝边际利润按季提升每吨400元所带动。该行指出,市场对铝业的忧虑属过度,因为中国铝业现价估值已反映铝价低于每吨20,000元,而现货价格仍处于约23,000元,相信利润仍处于健康水平。该行目前对2026及2027年铝价预测为每吨23,000元及21,000元,重申对中国铝业“买入”评级,H股目标价10.5港元。

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