德意志银行分析师George Saravelos在一份报告中指出，如果美联储将政策重心从加息转向缩减资产负债表(即量化紧缩)以收紧货币政策，美元可能会因此走软。他表示，日本的经验值得借鉴，尽管日本央行加息步伐缓慢，但却以创纪录的速度通过量化紧缩回收流动性，而日元仍处于历史低位。此外，收紧资产负债表还可能与特朗普政府产生政策冲突，因为特朗普政府已明确表示，希望维持长期国债收益率处于较低水平。他还表示，日本央行的独立性仍持续受到市场关注。日本财务大臣片山皋月甚至讨论过动用国内储蓄来支撑日本债券市场。
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