“末日博士”鲁比尼警告:通胀仍是市场最大风险 美债收益率或升至30年高位

格隆汇
Jul 15

以悲观预测闻名、被称为“末日博士”的著名经济学家鲁比尼警告称,通胀仍是市场面临的最大风险,推动通胀上升的关键因素包括地缘政治紧张、去全球化以及政府支出增加。鲁比尼警告称,如果通胀趋势持续上升,长期债券收益率可能出现剧烈变化。他表示,若美国消费者价格指数(CPI)达到5%-6%,10年期美国国债收益率可能“接近”8%。这将是自1994年以来的最高水平,较当前约4.58%的水平大幅上升。他表示,除市场因素外,其他结构性因素也可能推动收益率上升。例如,政府债务水平不断增加意味着财政部需要发行更多债券。如果需求没有同步增长,债券供应增加将导致收益率走高。

Disclaimer: Investing carries risk. This is not financial advice. The above content should not be regarded as an offer, recommendation, or solicitation on acquiring or disposing of any financial products, any associated discussions, comments, or posts by author or other users should not be considered as such either. It is solely for general information purpose only, which does not consider your own investment objectives, financial situations or needs. TTM assumes no responsibility or warranty for the accuracy and completeness of the information, investors should do their own research and may seek professional advice before investing.

Most Discussed

  1. 1
     
     
     
     
  2. 2
     
     
     
     
  3. 3
     
     
     
     
  4. 4
     
     
     
     
  5. 5
     
     
     
     
  6. 6
     
     
     
     
  7. 7
     
     
     
     
  8. 8
     
     
     
     
  9. 9
     
     
     
     
  10. 10