丰业银行表示政策调整不必走直线尤其是在不确定性高企的时期。这一观点似乎正在主导市场对欧洲央行下周四利率决议的定价市场预计

智通财经
Jul 18
丰业银行表示政策调整不必走直线尤其是在不确定性高企的时期。这一观点似乎正在主导市场对欧洲央行下周四利率决议的定价市场预计欧洲央行将在6月加息25个基点之后将存款利率维持在2.25%不变。市场普遍预期也是按兵不动。欧洲央行行长拉加德最近一次重要表态是在7月1日她当时表示:“我认为我们面临的通胀上行风险和增长下行风险可能比几周前更加趋于平衡这是因为变化正在快速发生。”而自那以来美国与伊朗的冲突再度爆发。WTI和布伦特原油均上涨了约每桶12美元。一定程度上形成对冲的是6月通胀报告可能为欧洲央行争取了更多时间来评估形势毕竟欧洲央行秉持“数据依赖”原则。欧元区整体CPI环比下降0.1%核心CPI同比从2.6%(去年4月以来最高)回落至2.4%。尽管如此市场情绪指标清楚地显示鹰派总体上仍占据主导地位。

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