对冲美元波动成本已降至今年以来的最低水平，本周美元现货指数一个月隐含波动率指标跌至去年12月以来的最低水平，较3月份伊朗战争爆发后的飙升大幅回落，这表明尽管美联储政策前景不明朗且中东冲突重燃，交易员仍认为出现重大突发事件冲击这一全球储备货币的可能性微乎其微。这种平静的市场态势强化了今年市场的一个主要特征：美国股市的持久性和货币波动性的降低，鼓励投资者大量涌入套利交易，这种交易可以从利率差异中获利，并且在汇率和风险偏好保持稳定时往往表现最佳。荷兰国际集团外汇策略师Francesco Pesole表示，美元波动率的下降“令人瞩目”。他指出：“由AI热潮支撑的股市韧性似乎仍在稳定汇率，并有助于维持一种低波动率与套息交易盛行的自我强化环境。”他补充道，即便科技股出现回调，这种交易策略仍将保持热度。
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