【中金首席分析师：大宗商品新一轮超级周期尚未到来】7月17日，2026“我的钢铁”年中大会暨钢铁产业链协同创新高质量发展论坛在北京召开。中金公司大宗商品首席分析师、董事总经理郭朝辉在会上表示，大宗商品新一轮超级周期尚未到来。复盘历史，历次超级周期均依托大型经济体工业化、城市化带来的全域需求爆发。当前仅有AI、新能源等新产业拉动铜等有色金属形成局部增量，缺少能够带动能源、黑色、农产品全面回暖的全域需求支撑。后续需持续观察东盟等承接产能转移经济体何时启动全面工业化，这才是催生超级周期的关键条件。
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