金吾财讯 | 港股铜业股集体走软，截至发稿，中国有色矿业(01258)跌6.06%，万国黄金集团(03939)跌5.81%，五矿资源(01208)跌4.85%，中国黄金国际(02099)跌4.37%，江西铜业股份(00358)跌4.08%，洛阳钼业(03993)跌3.87%，紫金矿业(02899)跌3.24%。消息面上，国金证券新近研究认为，当前铜股处于“低PE、高EPS韧性、商品未证伪”的组合阶段。市场按过去十年的宏观杀估值框架定价铜股，但本轮有色板块已经进入EPS驱动周期，铜板块盈利能力和资源价值重估尚未结束。该机构判断，8-9月有望成为铜股错杀修复的主要窗口，Q4前后强涨价催化概率进一步上升。建议重点关注资源端权益铜产量高、成本优势突出、业绩对铜价敏感度高、估值处于低位的铜资源企业。
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