大摩:预计美联储下周将按兵不动

格隆汇
Jul 24

摩根士丹利策略师在一份报告中表示,近期数据表明,美联储将在7月份的会议上按兵不动,并且有可能在今年剩余时间里维持利率不变。他们写道:“美联储对高于目标的通胀正失去耐心。未来几个月通胀走势至关重要——我们预计通胀将如预期般回落——否则美联储可能会在今年晚些时候转而加息。”目前货币市场已消化了美联储在年底前加息近两次的预期。然而,通胀放缓的态势可能会促使美联储今年维持利率不变,将联邦基金利率保持在3.50%至3.75%的区间。“我们预计通胀回落趋势将使美联储今年按兵不动。”

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